Global drug sale forecasts decline as industry pricing face scrutiny

June 21, 2017

Analysts’ worldwide drug sale forecasts fell down for the first time in 10 years – going down to US$1.06 trillion in 2022from last year’s US$1.12 trillion forecast – as industry pricing continues to face scrutiny and pressure, especially in the key US market, according to a report.

It is the first time in 10 years that total drug sales have failed to beat the previous year’s forecast level.

“The continued political and public scrutiny over pricing of both the industry’s new and old drugs is not going to go away and we are starting to feel the impact now,” said Antonio Iervolino, head of forecasting in Evaluate Pharma, which compiles consensus numbers based on analysts’ forecasts.

He highlighted disappointing sales of some new drugs such as the expensive injectable cholesterol treatments Repatha and Praluent, from Amgen and Sanofi.

Drugmakers are under fire over prices around the world, but the impact is particularly notable in the United States, where a number of companies are now promising moderation after years of price hikes that often ran well above inflation.

Evaluate said Novartis, Pfizer and Roche were all in contention to be the company with the highest worldwide prescription drug sales in 2022, although Novartis seemed to have a slight edge.

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Category: Features, Pharmaceuticals

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